Urban change analysis and future growth of Istanbul

Basit Öğe Kaydı
dc.authorid0000-0001-5267-9105en_US
dc.contributor.authorAkın Tanrıöver, Anıl
dc.contributor.authorSunar, Filiz
dc.contributor.authorBerberoglu, Suha
dc.date.accessioned2021-03-20T20:15:05Z
dc.date.available2021-03-20T20:15:05Z
dc.date.issued2015
dc.departmentBTÜ, Orman Fakültesi, Peyzaj Mimarlığı Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractThis study is aimed at analyzing urban change within Istanbul and assessing the city's future growth potential using appropriate approach modeling for the year 2040. Urban growth is a major driving force of land-use change, and spatial and temporal components of urbanization can be identified through accurate spatial modeling. In this context, widely used urban modeling approaches, such as the Markov chain and logistic regression based on cellular automata (CA), were used to simulate urban growth within Istanbul. The distance from each pixel to the urban and road classes, elevation, and slope, together with municipality and land use maps (as an excluded layer), were identified as factors. Calibration data were obtained from remotely sensed data recorded in 1972, 1986, and 2013. Validation was performed by overlaying the simulated and actual 2013 urban maps, and a kappa index of agreement was derived. The results indicate that urban expansion will influence mainly forest areas during the time period of 2013-2040. The urban expansion was predicted as 429 and 327 km(2) with the Markov chain and logistic regression models, respectively.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10661-015-4721-1en_US
dc.identifier.issn0167-6369
dc.identifier.issn1573-2959
dc.identifier.issue8en_US
dc.identifier.pmid26183153en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-015-4721-1
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12885/1148
dc.identifier.volume187en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000358782300025en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakPubMeden_US
dc.institutionauthorAkın Tanrıöver, Anıl
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherSpringeren_US
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironmental Monitoring And Assessmenten_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectIstanbulen_US
dc.subjectUrban growthen_US
dc.subjectMarkov chainen_US
dc.subjectLogistic regressionen_US
dc.titleUrban change analysis and future growth of Istanbulen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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