Modelling the potential distribution of the endemic oak Quercus vulcanica Boiss. & Heldr. ex Kotschy in Turkey from the last interglacial to the future: From near threatened to endangered

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dc.authorid0000-0002-0641-4445
dc.authorid0000-0002-2162-7553
dc.authorid0000-0001-5124-6279
dc.contributor.authorSarikaya, Ayse Gul
dc.contributor.authorOrucu, Omer Kamil
dc.contributor.authorSen, Ismail
dc.contributor.authorSarikaya, Oguzhan
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-12T21:05:31Z
dc.date.available2026-02-12T21:05:31Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.departmentBursa Teknik Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractThe aims of this study are to model past (LIG, LGM and Mid-Holocene), present and future (2050 and 2070) distributions of the Quercus vulcanica Boiss. & Heldr. ex Kotschy by using Maximum Entropy, and to predict suitable areas for the conservation of the species for future planning. MaxEnt distribution modeling was used to model distributions. Results for past bioclimatic conditions show that the distribution area of the species expanded and then contracted (LIG to LGM and LGM to HOL). The modelling shows that the distribution range of the species will be narrower in the future. The species will be facing extinction towards 2070. Therefore, the conservation status of the species should be evaluated according to the present findings. Although the largest population of the Q. vulcanica is found in Isparta and Afyonkarahisar Provinces located in Southwestern Turkey, this area will not be suitable for the growth and survival of the species in the future. For this reason, a new nature reserve area should be established in a more suitable climate.
dc.identifier.doi10.12657/denbio.088.005
dc.identifier.endpage80
dc.identifier.issn1641-1307
dc.identifier.issn2083-8387
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85145219023
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2
dc.identifier.startpage70
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.12657/denbio.088.005
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12885/7004
dc.identifier.volume88
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000911391600005
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherBogucki Wydawnictwo Naukowe
dc.relation.ispartofDendrobiology
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmzKA_WoS_20260212
dc.subjectoak
dc.subjectbiogeography
dc.subjectspecies distribution modelling
dc.subjectMaxEnt
dc.subjectbiodiversity conservation
dc.titleModelling the potential distribution of the endemic oak Quercus vulcanica Boiss. & Heldr. ex Kotschy in Turkey from the last interglacial to the future: From near threatened to endangered
dc.typeArticle

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