Effect of climate change on potential distribution areas of the invasive oak lace bug [Corythucha arcuata (Say, 1832)] (Heteroptera: Tingidae) on oak forests of Turkiye

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dc.contributor.authorSarikaya, Oguzhan
dc.contributor.authorGencal, Tutku
dc.contributor.authorUzun, Almira
dc.contributor.authorSarikaya, Ayse Gul
dc.contributor.authorYildiz, Yafes
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-08T15:15:07Z
dc.date.available2026-02-08T15:15:07Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.departmentBursa Teknik Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractThis study aimed to model the current and future (2041-2060 and 2081-2100) potential distribution areas of the oak lace bug Corythucha arcuata (Say, 1832) with the HadGEM3-GC31-LL model according to the SSP2 and SSP5 emission scenarios. Pearson correlation analysis was performed to select the bioclimatic data to be included in the model. The following seven climatic variables were used: annual mean temperature, maximum temperature in the warmest month, mean temperature during the wettest quarter, mean temperature during the driest quarter, annual precipitation, precipitation seasonality and precipitation during the driest quarter. The current potential distribution area model for C. arcuata established with the Maxent algorithm shows that this species is concentrated in the Marmara and Black Sea regions. According to the HadGEM3-GC31-LL climate change model and the SSP2-45 scenario, during the 2041-2060 (similar to 2050) period, there will be a general narrowing in the species distribution area, with suitable and highly suitable areas concentrated in some regions of Marmara, along the Black Sea coastline, and in the interior. Therefore, state forestry authorities should implement precautions for this pest in oak stands in northern Turkiye.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s41348-025-01190-2
dc.identifier.issn1861-3829
dc.identifier.issn1861-3837
dc.identifier.issue6
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-105023556498
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s41348-025-01190-2
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12885/5603
dc.identifier.volume132
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001629634300002
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSpringer Heidelberg
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Plant Diseases and Protection
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzWOS_KA_20260207
dc.subjectCorythucha arcuata
dc.subjectDistribution
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectHadGEM3-GC31-LL
dc.subjectMaxent
dc.subjectTurkiye
dc.titleEffect of climate change on potential distribution areas of the invasive oak lace bug [Corythucha arcuata (Say, 1832)] (Heteroptera: Tingidae) on oak forests of Turkiye
dc.typeArticle

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