Conceptualization of the indirect link between climate variability and lake water level using conditional heteroscedasticity

dc.authorid0000-0002-4767-6660en_US
dc.authorscopusid57113743700en_US
dc.contributor.authorFathian F.
dc.contributor.authorVaheddoost, Babak
dc.date.accessioned2022-04-05T06:50:12Z
dc.date.available2022-04-05T06:50:12Z
dc.date.issued2021en_US
dc.departmentBTÜ, Mühendislik ve Doğa Bilimleri Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractThis study investigates the indirect effect of large-scale climate oscillations and the corresponding teleconnection with lake water level (WL) oscillations. For this, the effect of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on the Lake Urmia WL during 1966–2016 is investigated using cross-correlation, cross-wavelet (XWT), wavelet-coherence (CWT), and nonlinear multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. Based on the XWT and CWT analyses, a temporal phase of WL leading by the SOI and an anti-phase of WL-NAO linkage within 11 years is evident. The models also depict a long-term persistence and effectiveness of the conditional covariance on both SOI–WL and NAO–WL links. It is concluded that the SOI and NAO have no immediate impact on the WL while the magnitude of the impact is exacerbated after the year 2000; however, the establishment of the SOI–WL link is found to be more relevant than that of the NAO–WL link.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/02626667.2021.1968405en_US
dc.identifier.endpage1923en_US
dc.identifier.issn02626667
dc.identifier.issue13en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityN/Aen_US
dc.identifier.startpage1907en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12885/1854
dc.identifier.volume66en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/Aen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.institutionauthorVaheddoost, Babak
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherTaylor and Francis Ltd.en_US
dc.relation.ispartofHydrological Sciences Journalen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectconditional correlationen_US
dc.subjectconditional variance–covarianceen_US
dc.subjectdiagonal Baba-Engle-Kroft-Kroner modelen_US
dc.subjectdiagonal vector error-correction heteroscedasticity modelen_US
dc.subjectwavelet analysisen_US
dc.titleConceptualization of the indirect link between climate variability and lake water level using conditional heteroscedasticityen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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