Impact of Baltic Dry index on critical metal prices: Implications for renewable energy supply chains

dc.authorid0000-0002-2505-1985
dc.authorid0000-0002-2684-184X
dc.contributor.authorTarkun, Savas
dc.contributor.authorTok, Serife Akinci
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-08T15:15:19Z
dc.date.available2026-02-08T15:15:19Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.departmentBursa Teknik Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractThis study investigates the dynamic relationship between the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) and the prices of metals essential to renewable energy technologies, such as copper, nickel, and cobalt. Using daily data from 2015 to 2024, we employ wavelet coherence and a TVP-VAR-based connectedness decomposition to uncover timevarying, directional, and frequency-sensitive linkages between maritime transport costs and clean energy metal markets. Our findings show that shipping costs are not merely passive reflections of market conditions but active components shaping price fluctuations-particularly during global disruptions like the COVID-19 pandemic. Copper and zinc exhibit strong comovement with freight rates, while nickel and cobalt display evolving interaction patterns over time. These results underscore the systemic role of maritime logistics in renewable energy supply chains and highlight freight rate shocks as a potential vulnerability for mineral cost stability. We argue about integrating transport risk into mineral sourcing strategies and energy transition planning.
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.146440
dc.identifier.issn0959-6526
dc.identifier.issn1879-1786
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-105013848526
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.146440
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12885/5720
dc.identifier.volume523
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001560941800003
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier Sci Ltd
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Cleaner Production
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzWOS_KA_20260207
dc.subjectBaltic dry index
dc.subjectRenewable energy metals
dc.subjectMaritime logistics
dc.subjectWavelet coherence
dc.subjectSupply chain vulnerability
dc.titleImpact of Baltic Dry index on critical metal prices: Implications for renewable energy supply chains
dc.typeArticle

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