Phenological observation of Leucojum aestivum L. and determination to some morphological features and current and future potential distribution areas depending on climate change

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dc.authorid0000-0002-0641-4445
dc.authorid0000-0002-4215-920X
dc.contributor.authorSarikaya, Ayse Gul
dc.contributor.authorKavakli, Seydi Ahmet
dc.contributor.authorUzun, Almira
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-12T21:05:31Z
dc.date.available2026-02-12T21:05:31Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.departmentBursa Teknik Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractLeucojum aestivum is a perennial bulbous plant belonging to the Amaryllidaceae family. Climate change causes an increase in the danger of plant species extinction by producing negative effects on biodiversity and geographical distribution of species. In this study, phenological observations were obtained from L. aestivum populations, which are naturally distributed in Bursa Karacabey, then the morphological characteristics were determined. Also, MaxEnt programme was used to determine the current and future potential distribution areas of the L. aestivum populations in terms of climate change. The plant height of L. aestivum was determined to be an average of 60.92 +/- 10.38 cm. The width of the bulbs was 31.30 +/- 6.77 mm on average, and also the mean length was 34.67 +/- 6.22 mm. The mean weight was 21.35 +/- 11.74 g. The mean width of the broad linear leaves is 12.61 +/- 3.50 mm and also 51.53 +/- 15.38 cm for their mean length. The mean width of the white flowers was 22.97 +/- 4.01 mm and mean length was 20.56 +/- 1.80 mm. The mean flower stalk length was found to be 36.62 +/- 17.33 mm. The number of flowers was an average of 5.54 +/- 1.21. The mean anther length was 8.98 +/- 1.01 mm. The mean length of the pistil was found to be 11.93 +/- 0.84 mm. The mean width of the fruits was 20.86 +/- 3.62 mm. The number of fruits was found to be a minimum of 1 and maximum of 7 with an average of 2.12 +/- 1.61. The mean width of the seeds was 6.58 +/- 0.50 mm; and also the number of seeds was found to be at least 1 and at most 26 with an average of 8.16 +/- 4.90. According to the outputs of the two scenarios, which we evaluated as mild or strict, while no situation was present that would endanger the extinction of the species in Turkey over the next 80 years based on the SSP1-2.6 scenario; however serious reductions in the distribution areas of the species based on the SSP5-8.5 scenario. For this reason, in-situ and ex-situ conservation measures should be taken according to the species and their habitat requirements, and it is suggested to impose various conservation based sanctions and restrictions apart from these measures.
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.kjs.2023.02.027
dc.identifier.endpage648
dc.identifier.issn2307-4108
dc.identifier.issn2307-4116
dc.identifier.issue4
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85173940571
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2
dc.identifier.startpage639
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.kjs.2023.02.027
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12885/7003
dc.identifier.volume50
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001103570500001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.relation.ispartofKuwait Journal of Science
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmzKA_WoS_20260212
dc.subjectBotany characteristics
dc.subjectLeucojum aestivum L.
dc.subjectMaxEnt
dc.subjectSSP1-2.6 scenario
dc.subjectSP5-8.5 scenario
dc.titlePhenological observation of Leucojum aestivum L. and determination to some morphological features and current and future potential distribution areas depending on climate change
dc.typeArticle

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