Historical Trends Associated with Annual Temperature and Precipitation in Aegean Turkey, Where Are We Heading?

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dc.authorid0000-0003-0559-5261
dc.authorid0000-0001-9685-1499
dc.authorid0000-0001-9712-4031
dc.authorid0000-0002-4767-6660
dc.contributor.authorMersin, Denizhan
dc.contributor.authorTayfur, Gokmen
dc.contributor.authorVaheddoost, Babak
dc.contributor.authorSafari, Mir Jafar Sadegh
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-12T21:05:17Z
dc.date.available2026-02-12T21:05:17Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.departmentBursa Teknik Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractThe trend analysis of annual temperature (daily average) and total precipitation has been conducted for 14 stations located in the Aegean Region, Turkey. The Sen, Spearman's rho, and Mann-Kendall test methods are used in the detection of the historical trends in the region. The Pettitt test is also implemented to find the significance of the trend, while the Theil-Sen approach is applied to detect the change point(s) in the time series. Findings of the following study indicate that both precipitation and temperature time series in the selected stations depict statistically significant trends with increasing nature. The rate of increase in precipitation and temperature by the Theil-Sen test is found to be 4.2-7.9 mm/year and 0.20-0.35 degrees C/decade, respectively. It is also found that the turn points of the temperature trends determined by the Pettitt test occurred in 1998 for all the stations. According to the results, the magnitude of the extreme events would change in the future, which may help in conceptualizing the framework and the resilience of the infrastructures against climate change.
dc.description.sponsorshipYasar University Project Evaluation Commission (PEC) [BAP095]
dc.description.sponsorshipThis publication is supported as part of Project No. BAP095 entitled Drought Assessment in Izmir District, Turkey has been approved by the Yasar University Project Evaluation Commission (PEC) under the coordination of the third author (M.J.S.S.).
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/su142013380
dc.identifier.issn2071-1050
dc.identifier.issue20
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85140906630
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.3390/su142013380
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12885/6865
dc.identifier.volume14
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000875157400001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherMdpi
dc.relation.ispartofSustainability
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmzKA_WoS_20260212
dc.subjectAegean region
dc.subjecthydrometeorology
dc.subjectprecipitation
dc.subjecttemperature
dc.subjecttrend
dc.subjectTurkey
dc.titleHistorical Trends Associated with Annual Temperature and Precipitation in Aegean Turkey, Where Are We Heading?
dc.typeArticle

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