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    AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS FOR LAFFER CURVE: THE CASE OF TURKEY
    (Bursa Teknik Üniversitesi, 2018) Bilgin, Handan Kaynar
    In 1974, Arthur Laffer pointed out that reductions in tax rates would rise tax revenues while increments in tax rates decreases tax revenue. This argument has been defined as Laffer curve. Laffer curve has been popular in 1980s and various empirical studies have been introduced by then. For the most part of the studies, the results supporting Laffer curve have been obtained. In this article, the econometric models of Laffer curve for Turkey for the period of 1982-2016 were estimated. The models give similar results. The applications of the tax administration takes place on the normal side of the Laffer curve for the most part of the sample period. Therefore, the increases in tax rates will raise tax revenues. For the rest of the sample period, the increases of tax rate will not raise tax revenues
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    Effects of Demographic Change on Economic Growth: A Panel ARDL Approach for Selected OECD Countries
    (Univ Economics-Prague, 2023) Ciftci, Hakki; Bilgin, Cevat; Bilgin, Handan Kaynar
    The changing population dynamics have substantial impact on economy. This paper investigates the effects of demographic change on economic growth. The share of working age population, child dependency ratio, old-age dependency ratio and age dependency ratio are used as demographic variables. The effects of these variables on the gross domestic product per capita growth rate are examined for the OECD countries covering the period 1970-2021. Four different models are estimated by using panel ARDL estimation method. The findings derived from the estimated models point out that the old-age dependency ratio and age dependency ratio have negative effects on economic growth. On the other hand, the share of working age population has a positive effect on economic growth. These results suggest that demographic change causing an increase in the dependency ratio and a decrease in the share of working age population will have adverse impacts on economic performance in the long run.