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    Biochemical oxygen demand prediction in wastewater treatment plant by using different regression analysis models
    (Desalination Publ, 2019) Baki, Osman Tugrul; Aras, Egemen; Akdemir, Ummukulsum Ozel; Yilmaz, Banu
    The management and operation of the wastewater treatment plants (WWTP) have an important role in the controlling and monitoring of the plants' operations. Various performance data are taken into account in the controlling of the WWTP. The irregularities between operating parameters often lead to management problems that cannot be overcome. The aim of this study is to provide a simple and reliable prediction model to estimate the biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) with specific water quality parameters like wastewater temperature, pH, chemical oxygen demand, suspended sediment, total nitrogen, total phosphorus, electrical conductivity, and input discharge. The data records in this study were measured between June 2015 and May 2016 and obtained from the laboratory of Antalya Hurma WWTP. In the creation of the model, classical regression analysis, multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), artificial bee colony, and teaching-learning based optimization were used. The root mean square error and the mean absolute error were used to evaluate performance criteria for each model. When the results of the analyses were compared with each other, it was observed that the MARS method gave better estimation results than the other methods used in the study. As a result, it was evinced that the MARS method produces acceptable results in the BOD estimation.
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    Estimation of BOD in wastewater treatment plant by using different ANN algorithms
    (Techno-Press, 2018) Baki, Osman Tugrul; Aras, Egemen
    The measurement and monitoring of the biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) play an important role in the planning and operation of wastewater treatment plants. The most basic method for determining biochemical oxygen demand is direct measurement. However, this method is both expensive and takes a long time. A five-day period is required to determine the biochemical oxygen demand. This study has been carried out in a wastewater treatment plant in Turkey (Hurma WWTP) in order to estimate the biochemical oxygen demand a shorter time and with a lower cost. Estimation was performed using artificial neural network (ANN) method. There are three different methods in the training of artificial neural networks, respectively, multi-layered (ML-ANN), teaching learning based algorithm (TLBO-ANN) and artificial bee colony algorithm (ABC-ANN). The input flow (Q), wastewater temperature (t), pH, chemical oxygen demand (COD), suspended sediment (SS), total phosphorus (tP), total nitrogen (tN), and electrical conductivity of wastewater (EC) are used as the input parameters to estimate the BOD. The root mean squared error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) values were used in evaluating performance criteria for each model. As a result of the general evaluation, the ML-ANN method provided the best estimation results both training and test series with 0.8924 and 0.8442 determination coefficient, respectively.
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    A new solution proposal for pedestrian-vehicle traffic: Uzun street sample in Turkey
    (Peter Lang AG, 2019) Aras, Aylin; Aras, Egemen
    This chapter was made in order to propose a solution to ease the traffic flow of Uzun Street where the pedestrian and motor vehicle traffic is dense. In the scope of the study, a structural walking platform at the levels of the second floors of the buildings lined up along the axis of Uzun Street will be built. Motor vehicle traffic will be made possible under the platform and passages to the side streets will be built. Thus, both the pedestrian density of the street will be eased and the second-floors will be used as stores.
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    Prediction of suspended sediment loading by means of hybrid artificial intelligence approaches
    (Springer International Publishing Ag, 2019) Yilmaz, Banu; Aras, Egemen; Kankal, Murat; Nacar, Sinan
    The main aim of the research is to use the artificial neural network (ANN) model with the artificial bee colony (ABC) and teaching-learning-based optimization (TLBO) algorithms for estimating suspended sediment loading. The stream flow per month and SSL data obtained from two stations, Inanli and Altinsu, in Coruh River Basin of Turkey were taken as precedent. While stream flow and previous SSL were used as input parameters, only SSL data were used as output parameters for all models. The successes of the ANN-ABC and ANN-TLBO models that were developed in the research were contrasted with performance of conventional ANN model trained by BP (back-propagation). In addition to these algorithms, linear regression method was applied and compared with others. Root-mean-square and mean absolute error were used as success assessing criteria for model accuracy. When the overall situation is evaluated according to errors of the testing datasets, it was found that ANN-ABC and ANN-TLBO algorithms are more outstanding than conventional ANN model trained by BP.
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    Spatial Forecasting of Dissolved Oxygen Concentration in the Eastern Black Sea Basin, Turkey
    (Mdpi, 2020) Nacar, Sinan; Bayram, Adem; Baki, Osman Tugrul; Kankal, Murat; Aras, Egemen
    The aim of this study was to model, as well as monitor and assess the surface water quality in the Eastern Black Sea (EBS) Basin stream, Turkey. The water-quality indicators monitored monthly for the seven streams were water temperature (WT), pH, total dissolved solids (TDS), and electrical conductivity (EC), as well as luminescent dissolved oxygen (LDO) concentration and saturation. Based on an 18-month data monitoring, the surface water quality variation was spatially and temporally evaluated with reference to the Turkish Surface Water Quality Regulation. First, the teaching learning based optimization (TLBO) algorithm and conventional regression analysis (CRA) were applied to three different regression forms, i.e., exponential, power, and linear functions, to predict LDO concentrations. Then, the multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) method was employed and three performance measures, namely, mean absolute error (MAE), root means square error (RMSE), and Nash Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency (NSCE) were used to evaluate the performances of the MARS, TLBO, and CRA methods. The monitoring results revealed that all streams showed the same trend in that lower WT values in the winter months resulted in higher LDO concentrations, while higher WT values in summer led to lower LDO concentrations. Similarly, autumn, which presented the higher TDS concentrations brought about higher EC values, while spring, which presented the lower TDS concentrations gave rise to lower EC values. It was concluded that the water quality of the streams in the EBS basin was high-quality water in terms of the parameters monitored in situ, of which the LDO concentration varied from 9.13 to 10.12 mg/L in summer and from 12.31 to 13.26 mg/L in winter. When the prediction accuracies of the three models were compared, it was seen that the MARS method provided more successful results than the other methods. The results of the TLBO and the CRA methods were very close to each other. The RMSE, MAE, and NSCE values were 0.2599 mg/L, 0.2125 mg/L, and 0.9645, respectively, for the best MARS model, while these values were 0.4167 mg/L, 0.3068 mg/L, and 0.9086, respectively, for the best TLBO and CRA models. In general, the LDO concentration could be successfully predicted using the MARS method with various input combinations of WT, EC, and pH variables.
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    SUSPENDED SEDIMENT LOAD PREDICTION IN RIVERS BY USING HEURISTIC REGRESSION AND HYBRID ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE MODELS
    (Yildiz Technical Univ, 2020) Yımaz, Banu; Aras, Egemen; Kankal, Murat; Nacar, Sinan
    Accurate prediction of amount of sediment load in rivers is extremely important for river hydraulics. The solution of the problem has been become complicated since the explanation of hydraulic phenomenon between the flow and the sediment on the river is dependent many parameters. The usage of different regression methods and artificial intelligence techniques allows the development of predictions as the traditional methods do not give enough accurate results. In this study, data of the flow and suspended sediment load (SSL) obtained from Karsikoy Gauging Station, located on Coruh River in the north-eastern of Turkey, modelled with different regression methods (multiple regression, multivariate adaptive regression splines) and artificial neural network (ANN) (ANN-back propagation, ANN teaching-learning-based optimization algorithm and ANN-artificial bee colony). When the results were evaluated, it was seen that the models of ANN method were close to each other and gave better results than the regression models. It is concluded that these models of ANN method can be used successfully in estimating the SSL.